Bitcoin miners appear to be capitulating, which could signal a bullish reversal, according to ARK Invest.
In a report released on July 18, ARK Invest, an asset management firm, stated that Bitcoin became oversold in June following a multibillion-dollar sell-off by the German government. This sell-off involved 50,000 BTC seized in a 2020 police operation against Movie2k, a platform for pirated content.
The German government’s action caused Bitcoin prices to plummet from highs above $70,000 in early June to a low below $55,000 in July.
The report, which includes data through June 30, noted: “Based on short-term-holder realized profits/losses and miner outflows, Bitcoin appears oversold. Current levels of miner outflows suggest that miners are capitulating, a harbinger of a bullish reversal.”
ARK Invest also pointed out that the demand for Bitcoin exchange–traded funds (ETFs) remained strong despite the sell-off. The sharp drop in Bitcoin’s price did not lead to a significant withdrawal from spot BTC ETFs. As of June 30, the decrease in Bitcoin’s spot price exceeded the 30-day percent change in BTC ETF flows by 17.3%.
In July, BTC ETFs saw substantial net inflows, with approximately $1.35 billion entering the funds in the week ending July 15, according to CoinShares. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) recorded $107 million in inflows on July 18, marking nine consecutive days of inflows, according to Thomas Fahrer, co-founder of crypto data platform Apollo.
Summary Review: ARK Invest’s analysis suggests that the recent sell-off may have positioned Bitcoin for a potential bullish reversal, supported by strong investor interest in BTC ETFs.
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